Rule of Three?

My paternal grandmother always said that bad things happened like triplets, three at a time – three deaths, three accidents, etc. Needless to say, I was rather skeptical, although I recently looked up the idea as a possible folk saying and discovered that the idea is in fact an ancient superstition rooted in pattern-seeking psychology. In spirituality, the number three is generally a symbol of wholeness, creation, and the cyclical nature of life (birth, life, death), rather than just misfortune.

My grandmother, of course, never said, at least not to me, that good things also come in threes, but that might be because she’d gotten a bit cynical by the time she mentioned the idea to me. Part of that might have been because her husband (my grandfather) was a mining engineer who, as the family puts it, “made a million dollars three times and lost it two and a half times.”

Even so, I hadn’t thought of her rule of three until this past week, when two sprinklers in my system froze in place, both in locations where, at my age, I didn’t really want to dig. So I called the sprinkler tech associated with my lawn service, and he replaced them. Then three days later, a main feed pipe to the sprinkler system broke. I called the tech. He replaced the pipe, but two days later one of the valves attached to the associated controller sprang a pinhole leak and the system developed a short in another control box. I called a different tech. He fixed both for much less.

Now, I’ve had the sprinkler system for almost twenty years and only had one semi-major repair in that whole time. But, all of a sudden – three semi-separate failures in a week and a half?

It almost gives credence to my grandmother’s belief about things happening in threes, at least for sprinkler systems

Commercialization

According to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, since 2021, Gross Domestic Product has grown by roughly 11% annually. During the same period, corporate profits have more than doubled, increasing on average nearly twenty percent annually. Hourly wages have increased a little over four percent annually with lower increases in the past two years, and workers’ share of corporate income has decreased by 8% to an all-time low of 71%.

Those numbers provide an overall suggestion that corporate profits are definitely improving far faster than are workers’ income, a fact highlighted by a recent Economic Policy Institute (EPI) study that found that while worker productivity increased by 92% over the past 45 years, average hourly worker compensation only increased by 34%, with that gap widening more each year.

These figures, or variations on them, have been cited for some time, but there are other aspects of adverse economic change affecting Americans that, while obvious, have not been quantified in terms of their impact.

I occasionally watch (mostly listen to) CNN and other video productions for quick updates, usually in the kitchen while I’m preparing food, and it struck me that I was seeing/hearing far more commercials, sometimes as many as five or six back-to-back, along with the misleading phrase(“we’ll be back after a short break”) introducing those commercials. So, I did a little research and discovered that, while the FCC has mandated limits on how many minutes of commercials can be inserted into children’s programs (12 minutes every hour on weekdays and 10.5 on weekends), there are no restrictions for other programming.

As late as the early 1970s, the “standard” ratio for television/cable programs was 51 minutes of content and 9 minutes of commercials for an hour program. Today that “standard” is 42 minutes of content and 18 minutes of commercials, and at times “news hours” at CNN consist of as few as 33 minutes of content and 27 minutes of ads. With that ratio, it’s no wonder that viewers are abandoning “mainstream” broadcasting.

Unfortunately, in the search for more advertising dollars, now satellite/cable providers are inserting commercials almost willy-nilly into movie channels and other programs, which means that viewers who originally signed up to avoid or minimize commercials are now paying for commercials on a system they chose to avoid commercials. And that means users are getting less for their money than they used to, particularly since cable/satellite fees continue to increase. Those Americans who can barely afford a television, let alone cable or satellite service, are stuck with commercial maximization.

Just another example of how the insane search for more and more profit hurts all consumers, one way or another, except for the ad agencies (already one of the most profitable industry segments).

Closed Minds

A number of years ago, I made the observation that “Minds, like parachutes, function better when open, but strike harder when closed.”

This observation is particularly applicable to politics and to almost any political issue. Take immigration. It’s much easier, and certainly politically more popular, to declare immigration is bad and all illegal immigrants should be halted and expelled, and to “support” that with the number of illegal immigrants who’ve committed crimes, especially heinous ones, and then to justify choking off immigration by saying that saves jobs for Americans.

But the issue is far more complex than that. First, the percentage of crimes committed by immigrants is half the level of criminal activity of that by native-born Americans. Second, most of the jobs taken by immigrants are those that most Americans won’t take, and jobs which immigrants often do better.

Beyond that, there’s a deeper problem, and that’s the fact that in too many nations around the world, too many governments, “movements,” or even gangs/cartels threaten and cause death for anyone who disagrees. And then immigration problems – and many others – continue because the violence that creates immigrants only spirals into more violence, creating more chaos, and that chaos requires more armed repression that results in more deaths and more emigrants seeking to immigrate anywhere merely to stay alive.

Here in the United States, extremists on the left seemingly want to give asylum to every persecuted individual, and those on the right seem to want to ban almost all immigrants and the polarization and vituperation gets more and more heated. While we certainly cannot accept all who want to come here, we need immigrants for many reasons, particularly educated and talented immigrants, just not the overwhelming numbers allowed by the Biden administration, yet neither side wants to compromise.

At the same time, what few politicians seem to ignore is that more Americans are leaving and looking to leave the United States than ever before, and that our nearest neighbor – Canada – is tightening scrutiny of would-be American immigrants.

Even though those numbers are small, they should be a warning sign that, while closed minds strike harder, they don’t function that well in complex situations.

AI?

I’ve used the same lawn maintenance service for over ten years, ever since I decided (not that my wife the professor didn’t have some say in the matter) that it probably wasn’t the best idea for me to be dealing with heavy lawnmowers on large slopes that approach forty degrees in some places, especially at my then-hardly-young age. Not that I needed much convincing, since, as a teenager I mowed lawns for three long summers, and I’ve disliked mowing ever since.

I’ve always made the point of paying for a month’s service in advance by mailing a check, and I’ve never had any trouble with the service, until this month, when I suddenly realized I wasn’t getting my weekly emailed invoice. Then several sprinklers malfunctioned (beyond simple replacement) followed by a split somewhere in a main water feed.

But when I went to call the service, I looked them up on the internet to check the telephone number and discovered they had a glitzy new website which suggested I use it to schedule the necessary repairs. The only problem was that the “new” system wouldn’t recognize either my email or my street address. The new system’s chatbot was no help, either.

So, I used the old-fashioned telephone, and I got a helpful real person on the line, except she couldn’t schedule the sprinkler repair because I either had to have a credit card on file or fill out and return an email form that she would send to me. She tried four times to send the form. The system said that it sent it, but I never received anything, even though the system had the correct email address.

After more hassles I called back and got another helpful person. He found me on the system, but nothing still arrived by email. In the end, after almost half an hour, between the two of us, we figured out that my mailing street address was “wrong,” that is, that it was listed as “south,” followed by the street name. Five years ago, that was the correct postal address, but then USPS removed the “south,” despite the fact that we’re still “south.” For the most part, that hasn’t been a problem, but every so often, relatives and friends using the “old” address have letters rejected. The thing is: we’re the only house on the street, which is only a half-block long; there’s no other street with any similar name; and we’ve lived here for 33 years.

With that one little change, all of a sudden, the lawn service system could send me the sprinkler request form and all my back invoices.

But it took three human beings over two hours to “solve” what never should have been a problem, and none of us, including the tech on the system, could say why a single word in the database not even associated directly with the email address could block sending emails to me.

And the tech gurus wonder why people are leery of AI?

More Greedy Jobs?

In an article published in The New York Times, on May 7, 2026, dealing with possible causes of the declining birthrate in the United States, the economist Claudia Goldin cited two factors: (1) the unpredictable shifts and low wages that have barely kept pace with the cost of living for less-skilled workers and (2) so-called “greedy jobs,” positions that demand far more of an employee than can be accomplished within “normal working hours.”

In fact, today most U.S. workers face three possibilities for work: no available jobs, jobs with wages/hours insufficient to pay the bills, or “greedy jobs.”

I’m more than a little acquainted with “greedy jobs,” since every political or consulting job I had for the eighteen years I worked in Washington, D.C., took far more time than nine to five and had requirements that went far beyond the job description.

Sometimes, financial circumstances also create “greedy jobs,” particularly the costs of higher education. A junior degreed professional – doctor, engineer, lawyer, dentist, and others – who leaves graduate school with a high level of student loans may well find his or her job barely able to provide a living wage after making student loan payments while another junior degreed professional whose family supported them through college and graduate school won’t have near the financial problems.

As for tenure track/tenured university professors, whether a position is “greedy” depends on the university and the field. At least at my wife’s university, the pay is higher in certain areas, such as business, and the hours are shorter. In the performing arts, especially in music, the pay is lower, the hours longer, and on average, music professors work six-day weeks. And to add to that, the administrative and paperwork requirements have effectively doubled over the past decade as a result of politically required documentation. As a result, many senior professors are retiring earlier, and taking lower retirement benefits, and they’re being replaced by much younger and fewer professors and more low-paid part-time adjuncts without benefits, especially health benefits, creating “greedier” full-time positions and more underpaid and insecure part-time positions.

But very few analysts – or politicians – seem to realize that current economic pressures are turning more, if not most, available jobs into either those that can’t pay the bills or barely do and those that are “greedy jobs.”

Is this really the future we want?